27 March 2020
Seven Insurance Brokers Logo
Seven Insurance Brokers Logo

Seven Insurance Brokers Market Update
Powered By
VAM Funds

Welcome to our weekly newsletter, where the Manager summarises the key market developments over the last seven days.

The Noise

In a press conference on Monday evening, Boris Johnson announced the closure of all non-essential shops and told all UK citizens to stay at home unless absolutely necessary in an escalated effort to slow down the rapid spread of the Coronavirus. The new measures will bring Britain more closely in line with other European countries and will initially last for three weeks.

Multiple governments have committed enormous stimulus packages to their economies this week in an effort to combat the economic slowdowns caused by the Coronavirus. The US Senate passed a $2tn aid bill, the largest economic stimulus in US history. Germany topped up its stimulus package to €750bn, defying its own fiscal rulebook in an historic move to support its workers and businesses.

Just over two weeks since the entire country entered full lockdown, Italy has seen the first signs of slowdown in both the number of new confirmed Coronavirus cases and Coronavirus deaths. Italian officials have reported that the worst of the outbreak may be coming to an end.

The Numbers

GBP Performance to 26/03/20
1 Week
YTD
Absolute Level
Equity GBP Total Return (MSCI)

UK (MSCI UK)

11.50%

-22.00%

4906

Europe (MSCI Europe)

9.60%

-16.60%

5482

US (MSCI USA)

4.10%

-10.80%

7116

Japan (MSCI Japan)

4.70%

-11.40%

5526

Emerging Markets (MSCI Emerging)

5.70%

-16.40%

404

Fixed Income GBP Total Return

UK Government (Barclays Sterling Gilts Index)

6.80%

7.30%

313

Investment Grade Hedged (Barclays Global Aggregate Corporate Bond Index)

3.20%

-6.40%

284

High Yield Bonds Hedged (Barclays Global High Yield Index)

4.70%

-17.10%

440

GBP Performance to 26/03/20
1 Week
YTD
Absolute Level
Currency Moves

GBP vs USD

6.30%

-8.00%

1.22

GBP vs EUR

3.00%

-6.40%

1.11

GBP vs JPY

5.20%

-7.20%

133

Commodities GBP Return

Gold (in £)

4.10%

16.70%

1330

Oil (in $)

-17.0%

-58.80%

23

Source: Bloomberg, data as at 26/03/2020

The Nuance

After weeks of falling asset prices, markets have started to recognise the value in beaten down stocks. Volatility has declined whilst both equity and bond markets have stabilised slightly. Buyers flooded into distressed bonds, the prices of which have plummeted dramatically in the last few weeks, now making yields look attractive in this space. In equities, a significant turn in momentum has seen investors moving away from fear and start to look favourably at attractively priced companies.

Trying to determine whether the rally of the last few days will be sustained is pure speculation, but in the short term this week has certainly been positive for investors across the asset classes. Last Friday, the Manager called its second out-of-cycle Asset Allocation Meeting of this year. It made the decision to increase its weighting to equities across the risk grades to reflect a more constructive risk-taking approach. The Manager executed the change on Monday allowing it to participate in the subsequent market rally.

The move topped up the Manager’s exposure to some existing names, but also introduced two new names to the portfolios: Accenture (the leading technology consulting group) and SAP (a leading European software company). Amongst the additions to its favoured holdings, the Manager also reintroduced Unite Group (a UK-based developer and operator of student accommodation), after a significant price drop in the stock gave it an attractive entry point. The Managers continues to make active, dynamic changes to client portfolios to preserve wealth and ensure they are well positioned to participate in the recovery it expects to see on the horizon.

Quote of the week

“The person who keeps drawing on my face obviously likes to make jokes.”

An unnamed Italian priest.

A quarter of the world’s population is now living in lockdown and people are gradually learning to adapt to the new lifestyle they are being forced into. For some, the learning curve is steeper than others. A commendably dedicated Italian priest this week attempted to deliver a sermon over video conference, and it’s fair to say that it didn’t quite go to plan. He was unaware that he had turned on video filters by accident. As he began his service, his phone filters transformed his face into a boxer, a wolf and a wizard, to name but a few. The priest was unimpressed and believed that someone was playing a prank on him, scolding whoever was “drawing on his face”, but Twitter users who had tuned in welcomed the much needed comic relief in these difficult times. If this sounds like something you simply have to see for yourself, the video can be found here.

Source: Sanlam Private Wealth

Seven Insurance Brokers Logo
Seven Insurance Brokers Logo

For more information on VAM Funds, please contact us at sales@vam-funds.com or on +230 465 6860

Issued by Seven Insurance Brokers LLC

Sanlam Private Wealth is a trading name of Sanlam Private Investments (UK) Ltd.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future returns, investing involves risk and the value of investments, and the income from them, may fall as well as rise and are not guaranteed. Investors may not get back the original amount invested.

The information and opinion contained in this market view should not be treated as a forecast, research or advice to buy or sell any particular investment or to adopt any investment strategy. Any views expressed are based on information received from a variety of sources which we believe to be reliable, but are not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness by Sanlam. Any expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice.

Disclaimer: VAM Cautious, Balanced and Growth Funds are compartments of VAM Managed Funds (Lux).
This document is intended for use by professional financial advisers only. The distribution of VAM Funds and the offering of the shares may be restricted in certain jurisdictions. Private investors should contact their financial adviser for more details on any of the products featured. It is the responsibility of any person in possession of this document to inform themselves of, and to observe, all applicable laws and regulations of any relevant jurisdictions. Prospective applicants for shares should inform themselves as to the legal requirements and consequences of applying for, holding and disposing of shares and any applicable exchange control regulations and taxes in the countries of their respective citizenship, residence or domicile.


Licensed and Regulated by the United Arab Emirates Insurance Authority registration number 248.
Dubai Economic Department Commercial License number 730646.


© 2020 Seven Insurance Brokers. All rights reserved.